bittah.com!~ North Korea or Iran
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from what i can tell, irans population have solid reasons to hate america and would end up as iraq 2.0. nk population most likely have nfi what is going on:
b) Religiously bearded ( luv ya beard heff)
c) Rugs (hand woven variety, not hair related)
d) They are threatening the nuclear armed, love child of the US
e) Cannot take NK rulers seriously with their love of American movies.
The only way I see the US can get itself into war is if they can gather allies, and switch their economy into total war mode (which will require a massive conflict of the scale of fighting China as it is now)
The US is probably only one Republican White House away from full blown war with Iran. I wouldn't even be surprised if it happened under Obama.
And doing anything against North Korea = more than likely fire zee missiles gg nuclear winter.
20% of the world population wont fade into insignificance. Historically China has always been the world superpower.Just wait a couple of years until 3D printing becomes commonplace, China will return to insignificance when we can make our own cheap pieces of plastic crap at home.
israel will defensively bomb the shit out of syria if their "chemical weapon caches" fall into the wrong hands with or without UN/american consent as they always have with other countries. the outcome of the civil war in syria will be a factor over there.
Iran however is prime real estate for invasion. Why do you think the US has kept themselves involved in Afghanistan and Iraq so much?
Aside from the usual considerations around public support/capacity to wage war on 3 fronts, the overriding reason the US would invade Iran (according to the author) was of course oil, but with a twist.
Essentially he argued that an invasion would help stave off a potential US economic collapse. Basically the invasion would require blocking the Straight of Hormuz which would have a detrimental effect on oil supply & spike prices. Given that oil is still exclusively traded in USD (aside from the breakaway Euro only based oil trade Venezuela & Iran are trying to get going which is another thorn in the US side) this increased revenue would help keep them afloat a while longer, whilst allowing them to secure the biggest deposits in the region outside of Saudi Arabia (who are already US friendly via the proven terrorist House of Saud).
Suffice to say it was an interesting analysis.
Not quite, China doesn't want to be responsible for NK but at the same time they don't want the US to host a party on their doorstep - basically NK is China's party to host, it's a party the US will be invited to, but China must be the instigator of any proactive action in the area. In terms of reactive, if NK hits SK without China's expressed and sanctioned blessing (which won't happen) China will invade and take NK out before the world has a chance to react.NK is China's responsibility so US won't get involved until China do.
The real problem with North Korea is that once the dust settles (not including any radioactive fallout), there will be anywhere between 20-25 million people who are effectively refugees - nobody really wants to deal with that.
In terms of Iran, well shit - I always thought that taking out Sadams regime wasn't clever because it removed a hostile but stable country from their back - like two dogs fighting in the street only to have the local RSPCA officer put one down, the dog left alive is running around barking at everyone, in particular the nuclear armed cat which the RSPCA officer takes care of which we'll just call "Snowball of Irony".
Yeah, insignificance was definitely the wrong word. I'm just pumped about 3D printing, it's going to have a massive impact around the world and China will be the one place to experience a negative side. How will they respond to the collapse of the low end manufacturing market?20% of the world population wont fade into insignificance. Historically China has always been the world superpower.Just wait a couple of years until 3D printing becomes commonplace, China will return to insignificance when we can make our own cheap pieces of plastic crap at home.